| 图表：宏观经济景气指数(2007年6月) |
| 中国发展门户网 www.chinagate.com.cn 2007 年 07 月 31 日 |
|
|
|
日期
|
预警指数
|
一致指数
(1996年＝100)
|
先行指数
(1996年＝100)
|
滞后指数
(1996年＝100)
|
|
1991.01
|
88.0
|
99.64
|
102.01
|
103.88
|
|
1991.02
|
90.7
|
99.33
|
102.22
|
103.67
|
|
1991.03
|
84.0
|
99.65
|
102.77
|
103.19
|
|
1991.04
|
86.0
|
100.01
|
103.45
|
103.70
|
|
1991.05
|
89.3
|
101.04
|
103.84
|
104.48
|
|
1991.06
|
96.7
|
101.42
|
104.29
|
105.79
|
|
1991.07
|
100.7
|
101.74
|
104.33
|
105.99
|
|
1991.08
|
100.7
|
101.83
|
104.76
|
105.06
|
|
1991.09
|
100.7
|
101.89
|
105.49
|
104.52
|
|
1991.10
|
103.3
|
102.16
|
106.28
|
103.67
|
|
1991.11
|
106.7
|
102.19
|
106.61
|
103.35
|
|
1991.12
|
106.7
|
102.16
|
106.57
|
103.28
|
|
1992.01
|
113.3
|
103.51
|
106.93
|
104.19
|
|
1992.02
|
113.3
|
104.63
|
107.66
|
105.00
|
|
1992.03
|
116.0
|
104.92
|
108.49
|
105.32
|
|
1992.04
|
122.7
|
104.02
|
109.42
|
104.34
|
|
1992.05
|
120.7
|
102.82
|
110.20
|
103.67
|
|
1992.06
|
122.0
|
103.59
|
111.38
|
102.68
|
|
1992.07
|
115.3
|
104.21
|
112.22
|
102.53
|
|
1992.08
|
118.7
|
105.30
|
112.38
|
102.94
|
|
1992.09
|
121.3
|
105.49
|
111.03
|
102.62
|
|
1992.10
|
121.3
|
106.00
|
109.46
|
102.75
|
|
1992.11
|
132.0
|
106.72
|
108.59
|
102.61
|
|
1992.12
|
135.3
|
107.41
|
107.31
|
103.80
|
|
1993.01
|
139.3
|
109.87
|
107.39
|
105.03
|
|
1993.02
|
139.3
|
111.72
|
107.64
|
105.68
|
|
1993.03
|
142.0
|
113.80
|
108.25
|
105.19
|
|
1993.04
|
148.7
|
114.01
|
107.38
|
105.30
|
|
1993.05
|
148.7
|
114.27
|
106.11
|
105.81
|
|
1993.06
|
148.7
|
113.18
|
103.86
|
106.77
|
|
1993.07
|
142.7
|
111.26
|
102.28
|
106.94
|
|
1993.08
|
142.7
|
109.26
|
100.88
|
107.25
|
|
1993.09
|
132.0
|
107.87
|
101.27
|
108.00
|
|
1993.10
|
132.0
|
107.23
|
101.36
|
108.99
|
|
1993.11
|
135.3
|
108.14
|
103.62
|
110.02
|
|
1993.12
|
134.0
|
108.52
|
103.36
|
111.55
|
|
1994.01
|
130.7
|
106.54
|
101.77
|
113.67
|
|
1994.02
|
124.0
|
104.27
|
98.31
|
114.43
|
|
1994.03
|
117.3
|
103.52
|
97.17
|
113.76
|
|
1994.04
|
119.3
|
104.97
|
97.33
|
111.78
|
|
1994.05
|
119.3
|
105.82
|
97.27
|
111.03
|
|
1994.06
|
128.7
|
107.14
|
98.81
|
110.49
|
|
1994.07
|
132.7
|
108.79
|
99.72
|
110.80
|
|
1994.08
|
136.7
|
109.70
|
101.29
|
110.97
|
|
1994.09
|
139.3
|
109.61
|
100.80
|
111.22
|
|
1994.10
|
138.7
|
109.21
|
101.06
|
110.92
|
|
1994.11
|
138.7
|
108.86
|
99.34
|
110.12
|
|
1994.12
|
136.0
|
107.72
|
99.96
|
108.07
|
|
1995.01
|
132.0
|
106.55
|
100.75
|
104.99
|
|
1995.02
|
131.3
|
105.26
|
102.60
|
102.39
|
|
1995.03
|
124.0
|
104.09
|
102.66
|
101.31
|
|
1995.04
|
123.3
|
102.89
|
102.31
|
101.33
|
|
1995.05
|
126.0
|
102.33
|
102.10
|
100.85
|
|
1995.06
|
120.7
|
101.21
|
100.91
|
99.69
|
|
1995.07
|
109.3
|
100.42
|
100.52
|
97.98
|
|
1995.08
|
107.3
|
99.78
|
99.60
|
96.31
|
|
1995.09
|
111.3
|
100.16
|
99.94
|
94.88
|
|
1995.10
|
114.0
|
99.40
|
99.35
|
93.80
|
|
1995.11
|
114.0
|
99.57
|
99.90
|
93.68
|
|
1995.12
|
114.0
|
100.00
|
99.65
|
94.67
|
|
1996.01
|
111.3
|
101.55
|
99.40
|
96.33
|
|
1996.02
|
106.0
|
100.61
|
98.82
|
97.99
|
|
1996.03
|
106.0
|
100.24
|
98.68
|
99.09
|
|
1996.04
|
104.0
|
99.34
|
99.25
|
99.62
|
|
1996.05
|
106.7
|
99.38
|
100.00
|
99.97
|
|
1996.06
|
106.7
|
99.36
|
99.73
|
100.34
|
|
1996.07
|
105.3
|
99.38
|
99.81
|
100.99
|
|
1996.08
|
97.3
|
99.57
|
99.73
|
101.42
|
|
1996.09
|
93.3
|
99.65
|
100.81
|
101.56
|
|
1996.10
|
93.3
|
100.05
|
101.21
|
101.33
|
|
1996.11
|
92.0
|
100.45
|
101.46
|
100.62
|
|
1996.12
|
92.0
|
99.68
|
101.48
|
100.14
|
|
1997.01
|
94.7
|
98.54
|
101.52
|
99.20
|
|
1997.02
|
97.3
|
98.33
|
100.95
|
98.54
|
|
1997.03
|
100.0
|
98.33
|
100.83
|
98.31
|
|
1997.04
|
100.0
|
98.56
|
100.07
|
98.64
|
|
1997.05
|
99.3
|
98.02
|
99.71
|
99.33
|
|
1997.06
|
100.7
|
97.52
|
100.32
|
99.27
|
|
1997.07
|
94.0
|
97.00
|
100.28
|
99.04
|
|
1997.08
|
92.0
|
96.62
|
100.56
|
98.75
|
|
1997.09
|
96.0
|
96.59
|
99.60
|
98.59
|
|
1997.10
|
93.3
|
96.49
|
99.52
|
98.69
|
|
1997.11
|
88.0
|
95.77
|
99.34
|
98.47
|
|
1997.12
|
82.0
|
94.90
|
99.11
|
97.33
|
|
1998.01
|
74.0
|
94.05
|
99.26
|
96.55
|
|
1998.02
|
70.0
|
94.79
|
99.19
|
96.27
|
|
1998.03
|
62.0
|
94.88
|
99.06
|
95.81
|
|
1998.04
|
64.7
|
94.86
|
98.63
|
95.02
|
|
1998.05
|
58.7
|
94.07
|
98.00
|
93.66
|
|
1998.06
|
60.7
|
94.08
|
97.53
|
93.37
|
|
1998.07
|
60.7
|
94.58
|
96.82
|
93.21
|
|
1998.08
|
63.3
|
94.86
|
97.02
|
93.34
|
|
1998.09
|
63.3
|
94.94
|
97.65
|
93.37
|
|
1998.10
|
66.0
|
95.18
|
98.83
|
93.24
|
|
1998.11
|
70.0
|
95.08
|
98.74
|
93.12
|
|
1998.12
|
66.7
|
94.76
|
99.20
|
94.92
|
|
1999.01
|
66.7
|
94.09
|
99.17
|
95.28
|
|
1999.02
|
62.7
|
92.79
|
100.33
|
95.26
|
|
1999.03
|
60.0
|
92.60
|
100.18
|
93.47
|
|
1999.04
|
59.3
|
92.55
|
100.89
|
93.19
|
|
1999.05
|
59.3
|
93.37
|
101.31
|
93.25
|
|
1999.06
|
62.7
|
93.31
|
101.21
|
93.40
|
|
1999.07
|
62.7
|
93.00
|
101.36
|
93.35
|
|
1999.08
|
62.0
|
93.14
|
100.46
|
93.62
|
|
1999.09
|
70.0
|
93.36
|
99.80
|
93.58
|
|
1999.10
|
70.7
|
94.03
|
99.06
|
93.56
|
|
1999.11
|
77.3
|
94.30
|
99.86
|
93.02
|
|
1999.12
|
77.3
|
96.08
|
100.65
|
91.28
|
|
2000.01
|
75.3
|
96.51
|
101.19
|
91.28
|
|
2000.02
|
79.3
|
97.55
|
100.95
|
91.31
|
|
2000.03
|
83.3
|
96.92
|
101.00
|
92.85
|
|
2000.04
|
87.3
|
97.28
|
100.41
|
92.56
|
|
2000.05
|
87.3
|
97.00
|
100.05
|
92.32
|
|
2000.06
|
93.3
|
97.37
|
100.18
|
91.63
|
|
2000.07
|
90.7
|
97.91
|
100.22
|
91.49
|
|
2000.08
|
93.3
|
97.70
|
100.37
|
90.99
|
|
2000.09
|
93.3
|
97.35
|
99.91
|
90.89
|
|
2000.10
|
90.7
|
96.25
|
99.63
|
91.32
|
|
2000.11
|
86.7
|
95.91
|
98.91
|
92.47
|
|
2000.12
|
83.3
|
95.13
|
98.58
|
92.71
|
|
2001.01
|
91.3
|
96.41
|
98.64
|
92.42
|
|
2001.02
|
91.3
|
96.84
|
99.12
|
91.65
|
|
2001.03
|
91.3
|
97.51
|
99.63
|
91.70
|
|
2001.04
|
88.7
|
96.65
|
99.75
|
91.70
|
|
2001.05
|
85.3
|
96.30
|
99.70
|
92.27
|
|
2001.06
|
88.0
|
95.80
|
99.73
|
93.01
|
|
2001.07
|
83.3
|
95.26
|
100.09
|
93.17
|
|
2001.08
|
83.3
|
95.13
|
100.37
|
92.93
|
|
2001.09
|
76.7
|
94.99
|
100.30
|
92.47
|
|
2001.10
|
73.3
|
95.03
|
100.15
|
91.73
|
|
2001.11
|
76.0
|
94.97
|
100.33
|
91.41
|
|
2001.12
|
73.3
|
95.25
|
100.70
|
90.95
|
|
2002.01
|
76.7
|
94.95
|
100.72
|
90.88
|
|
2002.02
|
76.7
|
95.03
|
100.75
|
90.99
|
|
2002.03
|
76.7
|
95.46
|
100.67
|
91.04
|
|
2002.04
|
82.7
|
96.55
|
100.71
|
91.23
|
|
2002.05
|
85.3
|
96.99
|
100.82
|
91.19
|
|
2002.06
|
85.3
|
97.20
|
101.02
|
91.33
|
|
2002.07
|
89.3
|
97.13
|
101.20
|
91.65
|
|
2002.08
|
94.7
|
97.89
|
101.52
|
92.12
|
|
2002.09
|
94.7
|
98.32
|
101.64
|
92.64
|
|
2002.10
|
94.7
|
98.90
|
101.95
|
93.06
|
|
2002.11
|
100.7
|
98.43
|
101.36
|
93.32
|
|
2002.12
|
100.7
|
99.09
|
101.58
|
94.39
|
|
2003.01
|
107.3
|
100.01
|
101.87
|
95.06
|
|
2003.02
|
107.3
|
100.92
|
102.19
|
95.95
|
|
2003.03
|
104.7
|
100.22
|
101.32
|
96.35
|
|
2003.04
|
101.3
|
99.10
|
100.45
|
97.25
|
|
2003.05
|
97.3
|
99.06
|
100.53
|
97.53
|
|
2003.06
|
97.3
|
99.46
|
101.16
|
97.54
|
|
2003.07
|
109.3
|
99.93
|
102.00
|
97.47
|
|
2003.08
|
109.3
|
99.93
|
102.04
|
97.61
|
|
2003.09
|
109.3
|
99.91
|
102.38
|
97.98
|
|
2003.10
|
112.0
|
99.99
|
102.41
|
98.42
|
|
2003.11
|
112.0
|
100.39
|
102.59
|
98.68
|
|
2003.12
|
112.7
|
101.03
|
102.70
|
98.64
|
|
2004.01
|
116.7
|
101.87
|
102.42
|
98.58
|
|
2004.02
|
122.7
|
102.35
|
102.54
|
98.72
|
|
2004.03
|
125.3
|
102.63
|
102.39
|
99.14
|
|
2004.04
|
114.7
|
102.51
|
102.33
|
99.44
|
|
2004.05
|
112.0
|
102.21
|
101.65
|
99.46
|
|
2004.06
|
112.0
|
101.86
|
101.08
|
99.30
|
|
2004.07
|
105.3
|
101.52
|
100.83
|
99.11
|
|
2004.08
|
97.3
|
101.21
|
100.87
|
99.13
|
|
2004.09
|
97.3
|
101.11
|
100.70
|
98.77
|
|
2004.10
|
97.3
|
101.10
|
100.75
|
98.07
|
|
2004.11
|
97.3
|
101.16
|
100.66
|
97.22
|
|
2004.12
|
100.0
|
100.53
|
100.97
|
96.40
|
|
2005.01
|
100.0
|
100.04
|
101.20
|
96.46
|
|
2005.02
|
100.0
|
99.69
|
101.47
|
96.17
|
|
2005.03
|
97.3
|
99.92
|
101.81
|
95.68
|
|
2005.04
|
97.3
|
100.15
|
102.22
|
94.47
|
|
2005.05
|
97.3
|
100.49
|
102.58
|
93.58
|
|
2005.06
|
100.0
|
100.63
|
102.58
|
93.20
|
|
2005.07
|
104.0
|
100.85
|
102.47
|
93.00
|
|
2005.08
|
106.7
|
100.86
|
102.40
|
92.84
|
|
2005.09
|
106.7
|
101.00
|
102.30
|
92.94
|
|
2005.10
|
106.7
|
100.93
|
101.99
|
93.41
|
|
2005.11
|
106.7
|
100.84
|
102.05
|
93.99
|
|
2005.12
|
104.0
|
101.04
|
102.22
|
94.91
|
|
2006.01
|
101.3
|
100.83
|
102.67
|
94.51
|
|
2006.02
|
104.7
|
100.94
|
102.88
|
94.51
|
|
2006.03
|
104.7
|
100.82
|
102.83
|
94.15
|
|
2006.04
|
107.3
|
101.36
|
102.54
|
94.84
|
|
2006.05
|
107.3
|
101.57
|
102.31
|
95.69
|
|
2006.06
|
106.7
|
101.64
|
102.04
|
96.33
|
|
2006.07
|
106.7
|
101.39
|
101.89
|
97.09
|
|
2006.08
|
102.7
|
101.16
|
101.98
|
97.54
|
|
2006.09
|
100.0
|
100.93
|
102.27
|
97.92
|
|
2006.10
|
100.0
|
100.94
|
102.50
|
98.30
|
|
2006.11
|
104.0
|
100.69
|
102.53
|
98.50
|
|
2006.12
|
101.3
|
101.30
|
103.02
|
98.09
|
|
2007.01
|
105.3
|
101.67
|
102.98
|
98.77
|
|
2007.02
|
110.7
|
102.05
|
102.77
|
99.05
|
|
2007.03
|
110.7
|
102.01
|
102.54
|
99.97
|
|
2007.04
|
110.7
|
102.10
|
103.08
|
99.89
|
|
2007.05
|
113.3
|
102.45
|
103.33
|
100.40
|
|
2007.06
|
114.7
|
102.48
|
103.18
|
100.93
|
|
(编制方法及简要分析参见www.cemac.org.cn)一致指数是反映当前经济的基本走势，由工业生产、就业、社会需求（投资、消费、外贸）、社会收入（国家税收、企业利润、居民收入）等4个方面合成；先行指数是由一组领先于一致指数的先行指标合成，用于对经济未来的走势进行预测；滞后指数是由落后于一致指数的滞后指标合成得到，它主要用于对经济循环的峰与谷的一种确认；预警指数是把经济运行的状态分为5个级别，“红灯”表示经济过热，“黄灯”表示经济偏热，“绿灯”表示经济运行正常，“浅蓝灯”表示经济偏冷，“蓝灯”表示经济过冷。
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（数据来源：国家统计局）
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| 来源： 中国发展门户网 |
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